Mar 09

MLB Predictions for 2010.

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Hardball Mike a Las Vegas baseball prognosticator and player makes his picks for the Junior and Senior Circuits:

American League Predictions

AL East
New York
Boston
Tampa
Baltimore
Toronto
 
New York added Granderson, Nick Johnson, and Javier Vazquez to more than offset loss of Damon, Matsui.  Boston has strong SP but not sure if lineup as god as years past.  Tampa is solid but in a tough division.  Baltimore getting better finally and have some good young players.  Toronto lost Halladay and will rebuild, but this year will finish 5th.
 
AL Central
Chicago
Minnesota
Detroit
Kansas City
Cleveland
 
Should be a good three way race for first place.  Chicago gets the nod with Peavy as ace of a good pitching staff.  Also added Teahen will have Beckham and Rios for a full year.  Quentin is a top RBI guy if he can stay healthy.  Minnesota should contend all year and added Hudsone and Hardy to start in the middle infield.  Can their starters repeat their performances from last year?  Mauer and Morneau as good as it gets for 3-4 hitters.  Detroit has good starting pitching but a little too much youth in their lineup.  Kansas City continues to improve and added a couple of vets in Ankiel and Kendall.  Greinke one of the best pitchers and bottom end of rotation is improving.  Cleveland is  in for a long season.  Too many unproven pitchers and lack of talent in the lineup.
 
AL WEST
Los Angeles
Seattle
Texas
Oakland
 
Despite losing Lackey and Figgins, Angels are very good and well coached.  Seattle has great 1-2 punch with Felix Hernandez and Cliff Lee, but not much after that.  Texas will contend but fade like they do every year (I think it has to do with the heat and humidity). Oakland will battle but can't keep up with the division.
 
Wild Card: Boston
AL MVP: Mark Teixeira
CY Young: Felix Hernandez
ROY: Carlos Santana
 
Playoffs: New York over Chicago, Los Angeles over Boston
ALCS: New York over Los Angeles

 

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Mar 09

Will Stocks Rally in 2010? Even with Retail Investors still on the sidelines? Low Volume has skewed the Bull Run.

Posted by: Administrator in Business & Economy |
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http://www.cnbc.com//id/15840232?video=1435385281&play=1
Mar 09

Honey I Shrunk The City (Revisited).

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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/03/08/detroit-wants-to-save-its_n_490680.html

Detroit, the very symbol of American industrial might for most of the 20th century, is drawing up a radical renewal plan that calls for turning large swaths of this now-blighted, rusted-out city back into the fields  and farmland that existed before the automobile.

 

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Mar 09

Ways to cut down on foreclosures. "Cash for Keys?" Listen to commentary.

Posted by: Administrator in Business & Economy |
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http://marketplace.publicradio.org/display/web/2010/03/08/pm-abromowitz-commentary/

The Obama administration may start encouraging short sales -- when a bank takes less for a house than is left on the mortgage -- which may help stem foreclosures.

 

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Mar 09

The housing crisis hasn’t gone away; it’s worse. Vacant homes, 'Shadow Inventory' and Mortgage Rate Resets are three of the reasons why.

Posted by: Administrator in Business & Economy |
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http://www.usnews.com/articles/opinion/2010/02/26/obama-needs-to-focus-on-housing-not-health-reform.html

Today, median prices for single-family houses nationwide are down by slightly more than 30 percent from their early 2006 peak. Over the near term, excess inventories are expected to push prices down by a further 10 percent.

The sheer number of empty homes overhanging the residential real estate market—7 million—points to lower prices. No fewer than 7.7 million homes and condos are behind on their mortgage payments. Over 4 million are now delinquent and going through some form of foreclosure. Fannie Mae's 90-day delinquency rate is now roughly 5.5 percent, double what it was a year ago. That shadow inventory  sooner or later will hit the market. Furthermore, adjustable rate mortgages issued between 2004 and 2007—some $230 billion worth—are coming due, so the higher interest rates that are likely will mean more foreclosures. The average loan in foreclosure is 18.5 months overdue today, compared with 11 months a year ago.

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Mar 09

The Future of Home-Price Appreciation. Where you live is a big factor-real-estate is local.

Posted by: Administrator in Business & Economy |
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http://www.usnews.com/money/personal-finance/real-estate/articles/2010/03/04/the-future-of-home-price-appreciation.html

After its historic decline brought the global economy to its knees, the U.S. housing market is gearing up for a long-awaited recovery. Real estate experts expect home prices to hit bottom in late 2010 or early 2011 before—finally!—heading north again. But what shape will the rebound take? Are we in for another boom? Or will we have to settle for sluggish growth? Here's the outlook for home price appreciation through 2020.

The trajectory of real estate values will vary a great deal from one market to the next. But home prices at the national level should appreciate at "pre-bubble" rates once the market re-establishes its equilibrium, says Kenneth Rosen, chairman of the Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics at the University of California–Berkeley: "I'd say prices are back to [increasing] 1 or 2 percent more than the inflation rate over the next 10 years." Although that might seem like peanuts to those who watched prices skyrocket during the first half of the past decade, it's actually in line with long-term averages. When adjusted for inflation, American home prices increased by an average of about half a percentage point per year from 1890 through 2008, according to data compiled by Yale University Prof. Robert Shiller.

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Mar 09

New Forecasting Gauge Predicts Economy, Stock Market Will Decline

Posted by: Administrator in Business & Economy |
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http://seekingalpha.com/article/192459-new-forecasting-gauge-predicts-economy-stock-market-will-decline

Economists have long sought an effective financial indicator that gives us an accurate forecast on where the economy is going. Results have been mixed. Examples here are plentiful. One is to look at the term structure of interest rates and gauge the spread between short and long term bond yields.

Another is to look at stock prices and yield spreads as in the Conference Board’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators. Bloomberg also has its Financial Conditions Index and others have similar indices. Many prefer to look at the spread between riskier yields and safer yields to estimate where the economy is headed.

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Mar 08

Oscars arrive with predictability out of picture. TRACKER Update-Ain't that the truth!

Posted by: Administrator in Entertainment |
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http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100306/ap_en_mo/us_oscars

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Mar 08

Predicting Oscar Winners by Hunch and History TRACKER Update

Posted by: Administrator in Entertainment |
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http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/05/movies/05awards.html?th&emc=th

If you believe in the predictive power of the precursor awards, that seemingly never-ending parade of accolades from all sorts of official-sounding groups.

 

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Mar 08

Oscar forecast: And the winners will be ... TRACKER Update

Posted by: Administrator in Entertainment |
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http://www.cnn.com/2010/SHOWBIZ/Movies/03/05/oscar.predictions/

 

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